基于谱聚类的沿海水域船舶航行风险动态群组提取方法

A dynamic group extraction method of ship navigation risk in coastal waters based on spectral clustering

  • 摘要:
    目的 针对沿海水域船舶航行所面临的复杂多变环境,提出一种基于谱聚类的沿海水域船舶航行风险动态群组提取方法。
    方法 以厦门港水域作为研究对象,首先,针对不同时刻下的不同航行场景,采用船舶自动识别系统(AIS)数据提取船舶的位置、速度、航行等关键信息,进而实时计算每对船舶之间在时间和空间上的碰撞危险程度;其次,根据所计算的潜在风险值,构造船舶冲突关系网络,形成描述水域内船舶风险分布和相互关系的拓扑结构;然后,在考虑风险值和距离的基础上,引入模块度作为船舶聚类簇数的估计标准,利用谱聚类的方法将水域内船舶划分为组内冲突关联紧密、组间关联稀疏的风险群组;最后,通过构建船舶群组的风险势场来确定水域内的热点区域分布范围,进一步计算各个船舶群组的风险值以精确识别热点区域。
    结果 结果表明:该方法通过群组聚类的方式揭示了通航环境复杂的沿海水域内风险的空间分布特征,可以及时、准确地识别风险热点。
    结论 研究成果将有助于海事监管部门更全面地掌握船舶实时航行态势并及时采取措施预防,从而保障船舶通航安全。

     

    Abstract:
    Objectives To address the complex and dynamic environments faced by vessels navigating coastal waters, this paper proposes a dynamic group extraction method for ship navigation risk in coastal waters based on spectral clustering.
    Methods Taking Xiamen Port waters as the study area, the following steps were implemented. First, key information such as ship positions, speeds, and navigation statuses under different scenarios at various times were extracted using automatic identification system (AIS) data, enabling real-time calculation of the spatial-temporal collision risk level between each pair of vessels. Subsequently, a vessel conflict relationship network was constructed based on the computed potential risk values, forming a topological structure to describe risk distribution and vessel interactions within the waters. Next, by integrating risk values and distances, modularity was introduced as a criterion to estimate the number of clusters. Spectral clustering was then applied to partition vessels into risk groups characterized by tightly connected intra-group conflicts and sparse inter-group relationships. Finally, a risk potential field for vessel groups was established to delineate hotspot areas, and the risk values of each group were further calculated to precisely identify these hotspots.
    Results The results demonstrate that this method effectively reveals the spatial distribution characteristics of risks in complex coastal navigation environments through group clustering, enabling timely and accurate identification of risk hotspots.
    Conclusions The findings will assist maritime regulatory authorities in comprehensively understanding real-time navigation dynamics and implementing preventive measures to enhance vessel traffic safety.

     

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